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Startup traction: what it is and how to show it, by stage

What traction means to an investor at pre-seed, seed and Series A, which numbers persuade and which only flatter, a six-month example for one slide, and the Italian detail on pilots and letters of intent.

Startup traction: what it is and how to show it, by stage

Startup traction means you can show that people want what you’re building. They pay, they come back, and weeks or months later they’re still there. A waitlist of 2,000 emails is a hint. Forty-one padel clubs paying €150 a month, and still paying after the summer, is traction.

Why do investors keep asking about it? Because anyone can polish a pitch over a weekend, while six months of renewals take, well, six months. That’s how they tell a business from a good story. What counts as proof shifts with every round, and a few popular numbers only flatter. Selling to Italian companies? You’ll often have to run a pilot first (more on that below). If rounds and stages are new to you, start with the map from zero to a first round.

In short

  • Traction is measured demand, not interest: paying customers, retention and growth over time. Letters of intent and verbal agreements ‘are neither revenue nor bookings’, in a16z’s words.
  • The bar rises with each round. Y Combinator says about 40% of the companies in each batch are just an idea. At Series A, CRV puts competitive B2B SaaS at $2 million to $5 million of ARR.
  • Paul Graham, who co-founded Y Combinator, called 5-7% a week a good growth rate during YC. That’s roughly 23% to 34% a month.
  • In Italy, an experimentation contract with a public administration is one of the conditions that let an innovative startup keep its status beyond year three.

What counts as startup traction at each stage?

Start at the far end. Subbyx, an Italian company that rents tech devices on subscription, was founded in February 2024. Within 24 months it had €12 million of annual recurring revenue, it had been EBITDA positive since the third quarter of 2025, and in March 2026 it raised a €30 million Series A led by Systemiq Capital. Nobody needs those numbers for a pre-seed, thankfully.

  • Pre-seed. A waitlist that converts, a pilot, letters of intent, your first ten paying customers. Y Combinator’s FAQ says that on average 40% of the companies it funds in each batch ‘are just an idea’ and most have no revenue, so at this stage the team carries much of the case (we wrote about what investors look for when you have no track record). Still, 7% of recent YC batches had more than $50,000 in monthly revenue when accepted.
  • Seed. Revenue or active use that grows month after month, and customers who stay. Our guide to the metrics investors want at pre-seed and seed has the detail.
  • Series A. Growth that repeats without the founder in every sale, and unit economics that hold. CRV, a US venture firm, puts the competitive range for B2B SaaS at $2 million to $5 million of ARR and names founder-dependent sales as the most common gap it sees before a Series A.

Good metrics and vanity metrics

In a 2009 guest post on Tim Ferriss’s blog, Eric Ries said vanity metrics ‘might make you feel good, but they don’t offer clear guidance for what to do’. His examples were total website hits and monthly pageviews. Each of them has a sharper twin.

Vanity metricShow this instead
App downloadsWeekly active users, and how many are still active after 90 days
Followers, newsletter sign-upsShare of the waitlist that became paying customers
GMV (gross merchandise value) with no marginNet revenue, the fees you keep, and the margin on each order
Signed letters of intentPaid pilots, contracts, invoices
Users since launchMonthly growth rate and churn
Total MRR onlyNew, expansion and churned MRR, month by month
Our summary, based on Eric Ries (2009) and a16z’s 16 Startup Metrics.

Marketplaces fall into the GMV trap most often. a16z’s metrics guide is blunt about it: ‘GMV does not equal revenue!’ Revenue is the fees you charge on each transaction, usually a fraction of GMV. Say your platform moved €2 million of orders at a 3% take rate: your revenue is €60,000, and that’s the figure a fund will rebuild anyway.

Traction on one slide: a six-month example

Say you sell a booking and payments tool to padel clubs in Lombardy at €150 a month. Here’s April to September.

MonthPaying clubsMRRGrowth on previous monthClubs lost
April20€3,000n/a0
May24€3,600+20.0%0
June29€4,350+20.8%1
July33€4,950+13.8%1
August34€5,100+3.0%2
September41€6,150+20.6%1
Invented example, for teaching only. Our arithmetic.

On the slide this becomes one chart and four numbers: 41 paying clubs, €6,150 of MRR, 15% average monthly growth, about 3.6% of clubs lost a month. The 15% is a16z’s compound monthly growth rate, 6,150 divided by 3,000, raised to the power of 1/5, minus 1.

Is that good? In weekly terms it’s about 3.4%, under Graham’s 5-7% and well above the 1% he read as a sign ‘you haven’t yet figured out what you’re doing’. Retention is the line to watch. Losing 3.6% of clubs a month means losing about a third of them in a year, so work out your churn rate properly and put it next to the growth curve. And explain August before anyone asks.

Traction in Italy: pilots, letters of intent and public buyers

Selling B2B in Italy, your first proof is often a pilot: three months with one plant, one branch, one hospital ward. Make it paid, even at a token price. Write down the start date, the end date and the result that turns it into a contract. A free pilot with no exit criterion can run for a year and prove nothing.

Letters of intent are weaker than they look, since a16z counts them as neither revenue nor bookings. Put them in your pipeline with a value and an expected signing date, never in the customer count.

Public buyers deserve a line of their own. Since law 193/2024, signing at least one experimentation contract with a public administration is one of the conditions that let an innovative startup stay in the special register past year three, up to five (MIMIT). It isn’t revenue. It does show that an institution was willing to test you.

Give traction a slide of its own, with the chart and the four numbers; our guide to the 13 slides investors expect shows where it sits in the order. Then get a second opinion. Our pitch deck review gives you a one-page investor read, notes on every slide and the five changes to make first, in 3 to 7 working days.

  • Your traction slide, if you sell software, will probably show MRR and ARR, which leave out setup fees and implementation projects.
  • A year of renewals from the same customers is the kind of lasting traction that makes product-market fit visible.
  • If you’re preparing a seed round, expect traction to become the main argument.
  • Unit economics, the next thing investors test once growth is proven.
  • Need the one-line version? It’s in the traction entry of our startup glossary, with 49 more terms.
What is traction in a startup?

It’s the evidence that people pay for what you’ve built, keep using it and stay, gathered over several months so that an investor can see the trend. Followers, or a waitlist that never converts, don’t count.

How much traction do you need for a seed round?

There’s no fixed number. Investors look for revenue or usage that grows month after month and customers who stay. Graham’s 5-7% a week was a YC yardstick, not a seed requirement.

Do letters of intent count as traction?

A letter of intent shows interest rather than demand, so it goes in the pipeline part of your deck and stays apart from paying customers; a16z, for one, treats letters of intent and verbal agreements as neither revenue nor bookings.

Can you raise with no traction at all?

It can happen at pre-seed, though the meeting turns into a conversation about the team and the market, since there’s nothing yet to measure. It isn’t unusual either: Y Combinator says about 40% of each batch is just an idea.

This page is general information, not legal or investment advice. Rules change: check the official source or ask a professional before you act.

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Not sure your traction slide lands? Send us the deck. You’ll get a one-page investor read, notes on every slide and the five changes to make first, in 3 to 7 working days.

Sources

  1. MIMIT, Start-up innovative, updated 18 April 2025
  2. Y Combinator, FAQ, consulted 17 October 2026; Paul Graham, Startup = Growth, September 2012; Paul Graham, Bio, consulted 17 October 2026
  3. Forbes Italia, Subbyx chiude un round da 30 milioni per espandersi in Svezia, 25 March 2026
  4. a16z, 16 Startup Metrics, 21 August 2015, updated 9 September 2024; Eric Ries, Vanity Metrics vs. Actionable Metrics, 19 May 2009
  5. CRV, Series A metrics VCs expect in 2026, 31 March 2026
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For information only: this is not investment advice or a public offer.

About the author

Cassio Thiengo

Prepares startups and SMEs to raise capital and open new markets across Europe, the US and Latin America, and works with investors from Europe, the Gulf and Asia. Based in Milan.

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